The market strongly favors November 30 at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | November 30 | 88% | +14% | $12K |
| 2 | October 31 | 48% | +106% | $14K |
| 3 | October 30 | 45% | +122% | $633 |
| 4 | October 29 | 44% | +130% | $1K |
| 5 | October 28 | 36% | +182% | $508 |
| 6 | October 27 | 31% | +223% | $406 |
| 7 | October 26 BEST VALUE | 14% | +590% | $4K |
| 8 | October 23 | 3% | +2885% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resol...
This prediction market tracks whether Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...? will occur, with $68K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: November 30 is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (22% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 22, 2026 at 23:25 UTC, the leading outcome is November 30 at 88% probability, with $68K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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