The market strongly favors Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri at 97%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri | 97% | +3% | $16K |
| 2 | Person A BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Person B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Person C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Person D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Person E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Person F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Person G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Person H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Person I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Person J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Person K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Person L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Person M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Person N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Person O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Person P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Person Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Person R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Person S | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Pri...
This prediction market tracks whether Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested) will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri is priced at 97%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (42% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-07-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 29, 2026 at 18:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri at 97% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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