The market strongly favors $140 at 93%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $140 | 93% | +8% | - |
| 2 | $150 | 88% | +13% | $2K |
| 3 | $160 | 82% | +22% | $3K |
| 4 | $170 | 74% | +36% | $3K |
| 5 | $180 | 62% | +63% | $2K |
| 6 | $190 | 44% | +125% | $6K |
| 7 | $200 | 34% | +194% | $20K |
| 8 | $210 | 17% | +488% | $22K |
| 9 | $220 | 12% | +700% | $6K |
| 10 | $230 BEST VALUE | 7% | +1329% | $100 |
| 11 | $240 | 5% | +2098% | - |
| 12 | $250 | 3% | +2841% | - |
| 13 | $260 | 3% | +3409% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of November 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the t...
This prediction market tracks whether Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of November? will occur, with $64K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: $140 is priced at 93%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $61K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 06, 2026 at 18:15 UTC, the leading outcome is $140 at 93% probability, with $64K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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