Market is split — Katharina Pötter at 56%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katharina Pötter | 56% | +77% | $25K |
| 2 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Person A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Person B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Person C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Person D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Person E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Person F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Person G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Person H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Person I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Person J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Person K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Person L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Person M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Person N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Robert Alferink | 36% | +182% | $4K |
| 18 | Volker Bajus BEST VALUE | 7% | +1329% | $443 |
| 19 | Thorsten Wassermann | 5% | +1962% | $271 |
| 20 | Thomas Groß | 4% | +2532% | $273 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for...
This prediction market tracks whether Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with Katharina Pötter leading at just 56%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (92% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 01, 2026 at 07:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Katharina Pötter at 56% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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