General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael López Aliaga | 34% | $601K |
| 2 | Keiko Fujimori | 17% | $224K |
| 3 | Carlos Álvarez | 14% | $129K |
| 4 | Alfonso López Chau | 11% | $213K |
| 5 | Roberto Sánchez Palomino | 10% | $319K |
| 6 | Jorge Nieto | 8% | $650K |
| 7 | Ricardo Belmont | 2% | $185K |
| 8 | Wolfgang Grozo | 1% | $378K |
| 9 | Marisol Pérez Tello | 1% | $180K |
| 10 | Carlos Espá | 1% | $144K |
| 11 | Mesías Guevara | 1% | $86K |
| 12 | Yonhy Lescano | 1% | $152K |
| 13 | George Forsyth | 1% | $138K |
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As of Mar 30, 2026 at 21:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Rafael López Aliaga at 34% probability, with $4.5M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $4.5M, with $208K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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