No clear favorite. Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? leads at just 5%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | 5% | +1920% | $22K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equa...
This prediction market tracks whether Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? leads at only 5% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (74% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 10, 2026 at 10:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? at 5% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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