Market is split — Graham Nordone <5% at 56%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Graham Nordone <5% | 56% | +77% | $33K |
| 2 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Graham Nordone 5–10% BEST VALUE | 30% | +239% | $20K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The special primary runoff election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the to...
This prediction market tracks whether South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory will occur, with $141K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with Graham Nordone <5% leading at just 56%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $141K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 26, 2026 at 01:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Graham Nordone <5% at 56% probability, with $141K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $141K, with $141K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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