Charlie Crist leads at 79%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Crist | 79% | +27% | $36K |
| 2 | Candidate A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Candidate B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Candidate C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Candidate D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Candidate E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Maria Scruggs | 30% | +231% | $372 |
| 9 | Ken Welch BEST VALUE | 11% | +813% | $4K |
| 10 | Jim Large | 4% | +2757% | $572 |
| 11 | Brandi Gabbard | 1% | +12400% | $518 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held...
This prediction market tracks whether St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner will occur, with $42K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Charlie Crist at 79%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (26% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 19, 2026 at 11:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Charlie Crist at 79% probability, with $42K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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