The market strongly favors Jennifer Flett at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Flett | 94% | +6% | $10K |
| 2 | Person A BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Person B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Person C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Person D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Person E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Person F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Person G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Person H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Person I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Person J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Person K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Person L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Person M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Person N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Person O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Person P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Person Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Person R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Person S | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
A by-election for the Manitoba Legislative Assembly District The Pas-Kameesak is currently scheduled to be held on July 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026...
This prediction market tracks whether The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner will occur, with $13K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Jennifer Flett is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 04, 2026 at 00:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Jennifer Flett at 94% probability, with $13K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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