Market is split — July 31 at 56%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | July 31 | 56% | +80% | $32K |
| 2 | June 30 | 34% | +199% | $38K |
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM (UTC+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market,...
This prediction market tracks whether Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...? will occur, with $66K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with July 31 leading at just 56%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $66K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 12, 2026 at 10:05 UTC, the leading outcome is July 31 at 56% probability, with $66K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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