US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

Ends Jan 01, 2027 · Volume: $284K · 24h: $19K · Updated Oct 23, 2026 at 20:35 UTC
PredScope Signal: Leaning

December 31 leads at 66%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.

⚡ Active 24h volume is 6.9% of total — above-average activity
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 December 31 66% +52% $44K
2 November 30 44% +127% $20
3 October 31 BEST VALUE 12% +744% $114K
Trade This Market on Polymarket →

Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence

Quick Math — $100 on December 31
Buy Price
$0.66
If Right
+$51.52
Return
+52%
If wrong, you lose your $100 investment. Prediction markets carry risk.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Canada to lower US tariffs on Canada is announced by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic agreement to...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...? will occur, with $284K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.

Traders lean toward December 31 at 66%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.

Recent trading volume of $19K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$284K
Liquidity
$22K

FAQ

What are the current odds for US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...??

As of Oct 23, 2026 at 20:35 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 66% probability, with $284K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

How much money is bet on US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...??

The total trading volume for this market is $284K, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.

Related Markets

Learn More

What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms