2.8M+ leads at 73%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.8M+ | 73% | +37% | $9K |
| 2 | 2.7-2.8M | 17% | +488% | $767 |
| 3 | 2.6-2.7M | 8% | +1150% | $720 |
| 4 | 2.4-2.5M | 6% | +1686% | $329 |
| 5 | 2.5-2.6M | 5% | +1752% | $424 |
| 6 | 2.3-2.4M BEST VALUE | 5% | +1880% | $343 |
| 7 | <2.3M | 4% | +2339% | $345 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher...
This prediction market tracks whether USD x Iranian rials End of October? will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by diplomatic signals, military intelligence, and geopolitical risk assessments.
Traders lean toward 2.8M+ at 73%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 01, 2026 at 21:45 UTC, the leading outcome is 2.8M+ at 73% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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