Pete Fry leads at 64%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pete Fry | 64% | +57% | $34K |
| 2 | Ken Sim BEST VALUE | 26% | +277% | $39K |
| 3 | Kareem Allam | 4% | +2173% | $72K |
| 4 | Fred Harding | 1% | +12400% | $4K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of t...
This prediction market tracks whether Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner will occur, with $205K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Pete Fry at 64%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Recent trading volume of $10K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 18, 2026 at 02:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Fry at 64% probability, with $205K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $205K, with $10K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms