No clear favorite. Ken Sim leads at just 28%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ken Sim | 28% | +251% | $18K |
| 2 | Pete Fry | 28% | +257% | $18K |
| 3 | Kareem Allam BEST VALUE | 20% | +400% | $53K |
| 4 | William Azaroff | 4% | +2432% | $5K |
| 5 | John Coupar | 2% | +4900% | $3K |
| 6 | Kirk LaPointe | 2% | +5782% | $3K |
| 7 | Colleen Hardwick | 1% | +7900% | $3K |
| 8 | Fred Harding | 1% | +9424% | $2K |
| 9 | Rebecca Bligh | 1% | +18082% | $3K |
| 10 | Sean Orr | 1% | +18082% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of t...
This prediction market tracks whether Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner will occur, with $119K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Ken Sim leads at only 28% across 10 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (16% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 19, 2026 at 15:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Ken Sim at 28% probability, with $119K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $119K, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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