Market is split — March 31, 2027 at 41%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | March 31, 2027 | 41% | +144% | $4K |
| 2 | December 31, 2026 | 10% | +900% | $168K |
| 3 | November 30, 2026 BEST VALUE | 7% | +1329% | $6K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election m...
This prediction market tracks whether Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...? will occur, with $669K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with March 31, 2027 leading at just 41%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
The market has seen $14K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 30, 2026 at 12:35 UTC, the leading outcome is March 31, 2027 at 41% probability, with $669K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $669K, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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