No clear favorite. Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) leads at just 24%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | 24% | +326% | $98K |
| 2 | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | 24% | +326% | $98K |
| 3 | Iran Reconstruction Funding | 22% | +344% | $97K |
| 4 | Dilution of Iran's Uranium | 22% | +344% | $95K |
| 5 | 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | 20% | +388% | $77K |
| 6 | Enriched Uranium Surrender BEST VALUE | 11% | +809% | $46K |
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This prediction market tracks whether What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? will occur, with $511K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) leads at only 24% across 6 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $21K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 10, 2026 at 02:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) at 24% probability, with $511K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $511K, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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