No clear favorite. ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) leads at just 10%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1.6M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | 10% | +852% | $286K |
| 2 | Dilution of Iran's Uranium | 10% | +900% | $264K |
| 3 | 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | 9% | +1011% | $217K |
| 4 | Iran Reconstruction Funding | 8% | +1076% | $377K |
| 5 | Enriched Uranium Surrender | 8% | +1076% | $150K |
| 6 | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) BEST VALUE | 8% | +1233% | $310K |
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This prediction market tracks whether What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? will occur, with $1.6M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) leads at only 10% across 6 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $43K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 08, 2026 at 11:45 UTC, the leading outcome is ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) at 10% probability, with $1.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.6M, with $43K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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