No clear favorite. 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium leads at just 18%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1.0M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | 18% | +471% | $149K |
| 2 | Iran Reconstruction Funding | 18% | +471% | $281K |
| 3 | Dilution of Iran's Uranium | 18% | +471% | $158K |
| 4 | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | 16% | +545% | $183K |
| 5 | ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | 12% | +700% | $207K |
| 6 | Enriched Uranium Surrender BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $68K |
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This prediction market tracks whether What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? will occur, with $1.0M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium leads at only 18% across 6 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $62K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 24, 2026 at 08:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium at 18% probability, with $1.0M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.0M, with $62K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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