No clear favorite. $1.185M - $1.201M leads at just 30%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $1.185M - $1.201M | 30% | +228% | $4K |
| 2 | $1.169M - $1.185M | 28% | +264% | $1K |
| 3 | $1.201M - $1.216M | 18% | +471% | $2K |
| 4 | $1.153M - $1.169M | 14% | +641% | $275 |
| 5 | $1.137M - $1.153M | 10% | +953% | $2K |
| 6 | <$1.137M BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $458 |
| 7 | $1.216M+ | 4% | +2122% | $180 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then...
This prediction market tracks whether What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30? will occur, with $11K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
No clear favorite has emerged — $1.185M - $1.201M leads at only 30% across 7 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (95% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 05, 2026 at 05:25 UTC, the leading outcome is $1.185M - $1.201M at 30% probability, with $11K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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