The market strongly favors Rare Earth / Mineral at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rare Earth / Mineral | 86% | +16% | $1K |
| 2 | China | 86% | +17% | $360 |
| 3 | Permit / Permitting | 64% | +57% | $416 |
| 4 | Strategic | 64% | +57% | $272 |
| 5 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | 63% | +59% | $120 |
| 6 | Clean Coal / Beautiful Coal | 59% | +69% | $250 |
| 7 | Obama | 56% | +80% | $1K |
| 8 | National Security | 55% | +82% | $389 |
| 9 | Job 15+ times | 55% | +83% | $477 |
| 10 | Vault | 55% | +83% | $1K |
| 11 | Gold / Silver | 54% | +85% | $246 |
| 12 | Magnet | 49% | +104% | $275 |
| 13 | Biden 3+ times | 48% | +108% | $524 |
| 14 | Trump | 38% | +163% | $598 |
| 15 | Alaska | 36% | +182% | $862 |
| 16 | GM / General Motors | 35% | +186% | $494 |
| 17 | Million / Billion 15+ times | 34% | +194% | $234 |
| 18 | Radical Left | 32% | +208% | $530 |
| 19 | Nevada | 31% | +223% | $253 |
| 20 | Drill Baby Drill BEST VALUE | 29% | +245% | $164 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Donald Trump is scheduled to attend a roundtable with top mining executives on August 7, 2026. (https://x.com/ErnestScheyder/status/2084315810361733183). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald...
This prediction market tracks whether What will Trump say during Friday roundtable? will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Rare Earth / Mineral is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 06, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Rare Earth / Mineral at 86% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms