Market is split — No Meeting by September 30 at 46%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
High Volume — $4.0M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No Meeting by September 30 | 46% | +119% | $584K |
| 2 | Switzerland | 19% | +426% | $474K |
| 3 | Pakistan | 12% | +706% | $249K |
| 4 | Qatar | 10% | +852% | $634K |
| 5 | Oman BEST VALUE | 6% | +1670% | $366K |
| 6 | Other | 1% | +9424% | $598K |
| 7 | Austria | 1% | +11011% | $268K |
| 8 | Turkey | 1% | +14186% | $62K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to contin...
This prediction market tracks whether Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? will occur, with $4.0M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with No Meeting by September 30 leading at just 46%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
The market has seen $33K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 15:55 UTC, the leading outcome is No Meeting by September 30 at 46% probability, with $4.0M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $4.0M, with $33K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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