Market is split — Switzerland at 46%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 46% | +115% | $36K |
| 2 | Qatar | 26% | +277% | $21K |
| 3 | No Meeting by September 30 | 9% | +1036% | $9K |
| 4 | Pakistan BEST VALUE | 5% | +1861% | $17K |
| 5 | Oman | 1% | +9424% | $7K |
| 6 | Other - Europe | 1% | +13233% | $8K |
| 7 | UAE | 1% | +15285% | $7K |
| 8 | Austria | 1% | +15285% | $8K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to contin...
This prediction market tracks whether Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? will occur, with $174K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with Switzerland leading at just 46%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $136K traded in the last 24 hours alone (78% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 27, 2026 at 11:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Switzerland at 46% probability, with $174K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $174K, with $136K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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