Market is split — Dopropillia at 43%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dopropillia | 43% | +133% | $23K |
| 2 | Druzkhivka | 27% | +270% | $48K |
| 3 | Sloviansk | 21% | +376% | $22K |
| 4 | Kramatorsk | 15% | +567% | $16K |
| 5 | Kherson | 10% | +953% | $2K |
| 6 | Zaporizhia | 8% | +1166% | $71K |
| 7 | Sumy | 8% | +1233% | $37K |
| 8 | Kharkiv BEST VALUE | 5% | +1752% | $14K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be consider...
This prediction market tracks whether Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? will occur, with $233K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by diplomatic signals, military intelligence, and geopolitical risk assessments.
The market is closely contested, with Dopropillia leading at just 43%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Recent trading volume of $16K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 27, 2026 at 11:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Dopropillia at 43% probability, with $233K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $233K, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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