Dopropillia leads at 83%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dopropillia | 83% | +20% | $187K |
| 2 | Druzkhivka | 48% | +111% | $131K |
| 3 | Sloviansk | 21% | +376% | $53K |
| 4 | Kramatorsk | 21% | +376% | $35K |
| 5 | Kherson | 6% | +1438% | $4K |
| 6 | Sumy BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | $53K |
| 7 | Kharkiv | 4% | +2226% | $103K |
| 8 | Zaporizhia | 2% | +4344% | $186K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be consider...
This prediction market tracks whether Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? will occur, with $752K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by diplomatic signals, military intelligence, and geopolitical risk assessments.
Traders lean toward Dopropillia at 83%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
The market has seen $14K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 15:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Dopropillia at 83% probability, with $752K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $752K, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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