The market strongly favors Dopropillia at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $1.6M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dopropillia | 100% | - | $453K |
| 2 | Druzkhivka | 40% | +153% | $258K |
| 3 | Kramatorsk | 18% | +456% | $280K |
| 4 | Sloviansk BEST VALUE | 12% | +770% | $180K |
| 5 | Sumy | 4% | +2310% | $73K |
| 6 | Zaporizhia | 3% | +2885% | $220K |
| 7 | Kharkiv | 2% | +3900% | $122K |
| 8 | Kherson | 2% | +3982% | $9K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be consider...
This prediction market tracks whether Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? will occur, with $1.6M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by diplomatic signals, military intelligence, and geopolitical risk assessments.
The market shows strong consensus: Dopropillia is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $12K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 25, 2026 at 17:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Dopropillia at 100% probability, with $1.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.6M, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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