No clear favorite. Egypt leads at just 24%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 24% | +308% | $69 |
| 2 | Lebanon | 18% | +441% | $63K |
| 3 | Somaliland | 17% | +488% | $78K |
| 4 | Jordan | 16% | +506% | $87 |
| 5 | Qatar | 15% | +567% | $56 |
| 6 | Pakistan | 14% | +641% | $666 |
| 7 | Turkey | 12% | +733% | $265 |
| 8 | Kuwait | 12% | +770% | $48K |
| 9 | Saudi Arabia | 11% | +809% | $184K |
| 10 | Azerbaijan | 11% | +848% | $62K |
| 11 | Oman | 8% | +1076% | $162K |
| 12 | Syria BEST VALUE | 8% | +1233% | $149K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, th...
This prediction market tracks whether Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? will occur, with $747K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Egypt leads at only 24% across 12 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $15K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 22, 2026 at 09:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Egypt at 24% probability, with $747K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $747K, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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