No clear favorite. Jordan leads at just 9%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1.7M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan | 9% | +1011% | $10K |
| 2 | Somaliland | 8% | +1076% | $117K |
| 3 | Lebanon | 6% | +1438% | $80K |
| 4 | Qatar | 6% | +1500% | $9K |
| 5 | Kuwait | 6% | +1567% | $83K |
| 6 | Syria | 6% | +1595% | $166K |
| 7 | Egypt BEST VALUE | 6% | +1670% | $7K |
| 8 | Oman | 5% | +1920% | $183K |
| 9 | Saudi Arabia | 4% | +2122% | $402K |
| 10 | Turkey | 4% | +2432% | $488K |
| 11 | Pakistan | 3% | +3233% | $9K |
| 12 | Azerbaijan | 2% | +4344% | $179K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, th...
This prediction market tracks whether Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? will occur, with $1.7M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Jordan leads at only 9% across 12 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $41K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 05, 2026 at 18:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Jordan at 9% probability, with $1.7M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.7M, with $41K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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