Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026 · Volume: $25.7M · 24h: $492K · Updated Sep 08, 2026 at 14:05 UTC
PredScope Signal: Leaning

United Russia (ER) leads at 74%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.

High Volume — $25.7M traded
📊 Steady Normal trading activity — $492K in 24h
30-Day Price
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 United Russia (ER) 74% +34% $9.4M
2 New People (NL) BEST VALUE 22% +362% $2.7M
3 Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 3% +3471% $3.7M
4 Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 1% +7900% $1.8M
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Quick Math — $100 on United Russia (ER)
Buy Price
$0.74
If Right
+$34.23
Return
+34%
If wrong, you lose your $100 investment. Prediction markets carry risk.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russi...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? will occur, with $25.7M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.

Traders lean toward United Russia (ER) at 74%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.

The market has seen $492K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$25.7M
Liquidity
$2.4M

FAQ

What are the current odds for Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election??

As of Sep 08, 2026 at 14:05 UTC, the leading outcome is United Russia (ER) at 74% probability, with $25.7M in total trading volume on Polymarket.

How much money is bet on Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election??

The total trading volume for this market is $25.7M, with $492K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.

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