Market is split — United Russia (ER) at 55%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
High Volume — $10.5M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United Russia (ER) | 55% | +83% | $3.5M |
| 2 | New People (NL) | 36% | +175% | $1.3M |
| 3 | Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) BEST VALUE | 5% | +1880% | $2.4M |
| 4 | Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) | 3% | +3179% | $747K |
| 5 | A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) | 1% | +18082% | $653K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russi...
This prediction market tracks whether Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? will occur, with $10.5M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with United Russia (ER) leading at just 55%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
The market has seen $108K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:15 UTC, the leading outcome is United Russia (ER) at 55% probability, with $10.5M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $10.5M, with $108K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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