180-199 leads at 83%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 180-199 | 83% | +20% | $14K |
| 2 | 160-179 BEST VALUE | 14% | +638% | $16K |
| 3 | 200+ | 1% | +7307% | $10K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only...
This prediction market tracks whether White House # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026? will occur, with $47K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward 180-199 at 83%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (25% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 17, 2026 at 23:35 UTC, the leading outcome is 180-199 at 83% probability, with $47K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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