No clear favorite. Moonshot AI leads at just 26%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moonshot AI | 26% | +292% | $14K |
| 2 | DeepSeek | 22% | +365% | $36K |
| 3 | Xiaomi | 20% | +388% | $32K |
| 4 | ByteDance BEST VALUE | 16% | +506% | $36K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 12...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? will occur, with $118K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by diplomatic signals, military intelligence, and geopolitical risk assessments.
No clear favorite has emerged — Moonshot AI leads at only 26% across 4 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $13K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-07-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 07, 2026 at 17:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Moonshot AI at 26% probability, with $118K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $118K, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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