The market strongly favors Yvette Cooper at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yvette Cooper | 100% | - | $11K |
| 2 | Shabana Mahmood | 100% | - | $2K |
| 3 | Pat McFadden | 100% | - | $1K |
| 4 | Ed Miliband | 100% | - | $8K |
| 5 | John Healey | 100% | - | $2K |
| 6 | Louise Haigh | 100% | - | $4K |
| 7 | Wes Streeting | 100% | +0% | $9K |
| 8 | Lisa Nandy | 100% | +0% | $8K |
| 9 | Angela Rayner | 100% | +1% | $9K |
| 10 | Heidi Alexander | 99% | +1% | $10K |
| 11 | Jonathan Reynolds | 99% | +1% | $4K |
| 12 | Alan Campbell | 99% | +1% | $7K |
| 13 | Bridget Phillipson | 92% | +8% | $17K |
| 14 | Liz Kendall | 30% | +233% | $679 |
| 15 | Dan Jarvis | 8% | +1199% | $3K |
| 16 | Catherine West BEST VALUE | 7% | +1279% | $7K |
| 17 | Jacqui Smith | 4% | +2640% | $694 |
| 18 | James Murray | 3% | +3126% | $3K |
| 19 | Jess Phillips | 3% | +3348% | $3K |
| 20 | Rachel Reeves | 2% | +5305% | $10K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise,...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will be in the Burnham cabinet? will occur, with $140K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Yvette Cooper is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $85K traded in the last 24 hours alone (61% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 21, 2026 at 05:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Yvette Cooper at 100% probability, with $140K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $140K, with $85K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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