The market strongly favors Masoud Pezeshkian at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masoud Pezeshkian | 100% | - | $4K |
| 2 | Serdar Berdimuhamedov | 100% | - | $370 |
| 3 | Alexander Lukashenko | 46% | +117% | $36K |
| 4 | Ilham Aliyev | 38% | +163% | $323 |
| 5 | Shavkat Mirziyoyev | 17% | +488% | $206 |
| 6 | Kassym-Jomart Tokayev | 16% | +506% | $104 |
| 7 | Sadyr Japarov | 14% | +590% | $21 |
| 8 | Emomali Rahmon | 11% | +809% | $187 |
| 9 | Nikol Pashinyan | 9% | +1011% | $358 |
| 10 | Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedow BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $390 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin holds a bilateral meeting with the listed individual in Turkmenistan between market creation and October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this mark...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will Putin meet bilaterally in Turkmenistan? will occur, with $42K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Masoud Pezeshkian is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $37K traded in the last 24 hours alone (88% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 10, 2026 at 16:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Masoud Pezeshkian at 100% probability, with $42K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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