Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025 · Volume: $3.2M · 24h: $9K · Updated Jun 13, 2026 at 18:55 UTC
PredScope Signal: Strong Consensus

The market strongly favors Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.

High Volume — $3.2M traded
💤 Quiet Low recent activity — this market may be waiting for a catalyst
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) 100% - $2.0M
2 Elon Musk (DOGE Head) 100% - $175K
3 Robert Lighthizer (USTR) BEST VALUE 9% +1011% $9K
Trade This Market on Polymarket →

Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual ceases to occupy the listed position for any period of time between February 12 and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Who will Trump fire in first 100 days? will occur, with $3.2M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.

The market shows strong consensus: Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.

The market has seen $9K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2025-04-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$3.2M
Liquidity
$6K

FAQ

What are the current odds for Who will Trump fire in first 100 days??

As of Jun 13, 2026 at 18:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) at 100% probability, with $3.2M in total trading volume on Polymarket.

How much money is bet on Who will Trump fire in first 100 days??

The total trading volume for this market is $3.2M, with $9K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.

Related Markets

Learn More

What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms