No clear favorite. Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? leads at just 12%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | 12% | +733% | $153K |
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On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec...
This prediction market tracks whether Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? will occur, with $153K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by diplomatic signals, military intelligence, and geopolitical risk assessments.
No clear favorite has emerged — Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? leads at only 12% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $32K traded in the last 24 hours alone (21% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 18, 2026 at 08:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? at 12% probability, with $153K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $153K, with $32K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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