This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↑ $3.75 | 100% | - |
| 2 | ↑ $3.50 | 100% | - |
| 3 | ↑ $3.35 | 100% | - |
| 4 | ↑ $3.25 | 100% | - |
| 5 | ↑ $4.00 | 85% | $55K |
| 6 | ↓ $3.15 | 1% | $25K |
| 7 | ↑ $4.25 | 1% | $65K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 31, 2026 at 04:10 UTC, the leading outcome is ↑ $3.75 at 100% probability, with $602K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $602K, with $39K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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