No clear favorite. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? leads at just 9%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | 9% | +964% | $643K |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article...
This prediction market tracks whether Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? will occur, with $643K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? leads at only 9% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $17K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 29, 2026 at 16:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? at 9% probability, with $643K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $643K, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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