No clear favorite. December 31 leads at just 36%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $2.9M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31 | 36% | +174% | $399K |
| 2 | September 30 | 6% | +1718% | $61K |
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Lyman railroad station located on Vulytsya Pryvokzalʹna by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station...
This prediction market tracks whether Will Russia capture Lyman by...? will occur, with $2.9M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — December 31 leads at only 36% across 2 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $18K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 04:45 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 36% probability, with $2.9M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.9M, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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