No clear favorite. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? leads at just 2%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1.6M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | 2% | +5961% | $1.6M |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this ma...
This prediction market tracks whether Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? will occur, with $1.6M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? leads at only 2% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $11K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 19, 2026 at 08:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? at 2% probability, with $1.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.6M, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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