No clear favorite. Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? leads at just 4%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | 4% | +2717% | $921K |
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This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, an...
This prediction market tracks whether Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? will occur, with $921K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? leads at only 4% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $25K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 01, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? at 4% probability, with $921K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $921K, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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