The market strongly favors May 31 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $49.6M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 31 | 100% | - | $7.6M |
| 2 | June 30 | 100% | - | $2.3M |
| 3 | May 15 | 100% | - | $15.1M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit"...
As of May 14, 2026 at 16:35 UTC, the leading outcome is May 31 at 100% probability, with $49.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $49.6M, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms