No clear favorite. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? leads at just 1%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? | 1% | +8596% | $657K |
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will will be considered captured if any part of Cri...
As of May 16, 2026 at 19:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? at 1% probability, with $657K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $657K, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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