No clear favorite. June 30, 2027 leads at just 10%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $4.0M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | June 30, 2027 | 10% | +953% | $10K |
| 2 | December 31 | 2% | +3982% | $3.0M |
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered capt...
This prediction market tracks whether Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? will occur, with $4.0M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — June 30, 2027 leads at only 10% across 2 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $50K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-07-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 02, 2026 at 00:05 UTC, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 10% probability, with $4.0M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $4.0M, with $50K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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