The market strongly favors 1m at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1m | 100% | - | $39K |
| 2 | 1.1m | 96% | +5% | $16K |
| 3 | 1.2m | 68% | +48% | $10K |
| 4 | 1.3m | 52% | +92% | $7K |
| 5 | 1.5m | 10% | +852% | $8K |
| 6 | 1.4m | 10% | +852% | $17K |
| 7 | 1.7m BEST VALUE | 8% | +1182% | $58K |
| 8 | 2m | 3% | +2799% | $14K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market R...
This prediction market tracks whether Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026? will occur, with $169K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
The market shows strong consensus: 1m is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $55K traded in the last 24 hours alone (33% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-02-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 23, 2026 at 18:05 UTC, the leading outcome is 1m at 100% probability, with $169K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $169K, with $55K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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