The market strongly favors Francesca Hong at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francesca Hong | 96% | +4% | $9K |
| 2 | Candidate A BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Candidate B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Candidate C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Candidate D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Candidate E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | David Crowley | 2% | +5028% | $11K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Waukesha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August...
This prediction market tracks whether Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Waukesha County Winner will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Francesca Hong is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (75% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 10, 2026 at 17:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Francesca Hong at 96% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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