Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 61%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 61% | +64% | - |
| 2 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 5 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 6 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 7 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 8 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 44% | +127% | - |
| 9 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 22.5 | 44% | +130% | $49 |
| 10 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.5 | 42% | +141% | - |
| 11 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +167% | $82 |
| 12 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner | 38% | +167% | - |
| 13 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 36% | +182% | - |
| 14 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 Winner | 35% | +186% | - |
| 15 | Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek BEST VALUE | 32% | +217% | $16K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegu...
This prediction market tracks whether Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 61%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 21, 2026 at 10:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 61% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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