Dems sweep leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dems sweep | 76% | +32% | $40K |
| 2 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Reps sweep | 12% | +733% | $7K |
| 4 | Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $4K |
| 5 | Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate | 3% | +3290% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will b...
This prediction market tracks whether Alaska Senate and Governor Combo will occur, with $53K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Dems sweep at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (38% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 16, 2026 at 08:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Dems sweep at 76% probability, with $53K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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