No clear favorite. Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? leads at just 24%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | 24% | +308% | $77K |
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Oth...
This prediction market tracks whether Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? will occur, with $77K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? leads at only 24% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (19% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 15, 2026 at 16:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? at 24% probability, with $77K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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