No clear favorite. November 19 leads at just 30%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | November 19 | 30% | +233% | $3K |
| 2 | November 20 | 24% | +326% | $3K |
| 3 | November 18 | 12% | +733% | $1K |
| 4 | No IPO by November 30, 2026 | 10% | +852% | $855 |
| 5 | November 16 | 8% | +1150% | $1K |
| 6 | November 27 | 8% | +1150% | $2K |
| 7 | November 17 BEST VALUE | 5% | +1787% | $860 |
| 8 | November 24 | 4% | +2497% | $657 |
| 9 | November 25 | 3% | +3348% | $679 |
| 10 | November 23 | 1% | +7900% | $558 |
| 11 | November 13 or earlier | 1% | +9424% | $627 |
| 12 | November 30 | 1% | +16567% | $392 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that Anthropic launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). An IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a rec...
This prediction market tracks whether Anthropic IPO Date will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — November 19 leads at only 30% across 12 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 27, 2026 at 17:45 UTC, the leading outcome is November 19 at 30% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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