Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

Ends Apr 05, 2026 · Volume: $32K · 24h: $32K · 9 comments · Updated Mar 31, 2026 at 13:20 UTC

Nestle confirmed on March 29 that 12 tons of KitKat bars were stolen while in transit from Central Italy to Poland (see: https://x.com/KITKAT/status/2038313618509377852). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any KitKat bar stolen during this incident is recovered by Nestle, a Nestle affiliate, or a relevant government or law enforcement authority by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying recovery requires physical control of the stolen KitKats by Nestle, a Nestle affiliate, or a relevant government or law enforcement authority. Confirmation of the location of a stolen KitKat, without physical recovery, will not count. The confirmed recovery of any amount of the stolen KitKats, including a single bar, will be sufficient for this market to resolve to “Yes”. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Nestle, any recovering government or law enforcement authority, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Current Odds

# Outcome Probability Volume
1 Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? 24% $32K
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FAQ

What are the current odds for Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5??

As of Mar 31, 2026 at 13:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? at 24% probability, with $32K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

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