Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 72% | +38% | - |
| 2 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston | 62% | +63% | $18K |
| 3 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 Winner | 58% | +71% | - |
| 4 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 Winner | 58% | +71% | - |
| 5 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 21.5 | 52% | +90% | - |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 22.5 | 46% | +115% | - |
| 13 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 38% | +160% | $2 |
| 14 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +163% | - |
| 15 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 16 | Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 22% | +344% | $900 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Jesper de Jong and Hugo Gaston in the Quebec City, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong'...
This prediction market tracks whether Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 21, 2026 at 13:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 72% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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