No clear favorite. CDU leads at just 34%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $2.7M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CDU | 34% | +199% | $34K |
| 2 | Grüne | 26% | +283% | $73K |
| 3 | Linke | 20% | +388% | $24K |
| 4 | AfD | 17% | +495% | $2.2M |
| 5 | SPD BEST VALUE | 7% | +1427% | $302K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest numb...
This prediction market tracks whether Berlin State Election Winner will occur, with $2.7M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — CDU leads at only 34% across 5 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $18K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 16, 2026 at 20:35 UTC, the leading outcome is CDU at 34% probability, with $2.7M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.7M, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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