Market is split — Xavier Becerra at 51%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
High Volume — $22.0M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xavier Becerra | 51% | +96% | $863K |
| 2 | Tom Steyer | 32% | +212% | $3.3M |
| 3 | Steve Hilton BEST VALUE | 9% | +970% | $1.2M |
| 4 | Chad Bianco | 2% | +3900% | $1.2M |
| 5 | Katie Porter | 2% | +4344% | $1.1M |
| 6 | Matt Mahan | 2% | +5305% | $745K |
| 7 | Elaine Culotti | 1% | +18082% | $359K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed b...
As of May 15, 2026 at 19:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Xavier Becerra at 51% probability, with $22.0M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $22.0M, with $351K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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