No clear favorite. Jon Ossoff leads at just 27%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1317.8M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Ossoff | 27% | +272% | $15.0M |
| 2 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 14% | +592% | $16.0M |
| 3 | Gavin Newsom | 11% | +835% | $28.7M |
| 4 | Pete Buttigieg BEST VALUE | 5% | +1769% | $12.4M |
| 5 | Kamala Harris | 5% | +1769% | $14.8M |
| 6 | Josh Shapiro | 5% | +1962% | $10.6M |
| 7 | Andy Beshear | 4% | +2432% | $13.7M |
| 8 | Raphael Warnock | 3% | +2799% | $34.6M |
| 9 | Ro Khanna | 3% | +3822% | $11.9M |
| 10 | James Talarico | 2% | +3982% | $12.0M |
| 11 | Wes Moore | 2% | +4155% | $18.8M |
| 12 | Mark Kelly | 2% | +5456% | $18.3M |
| 13 | J.B. Pritzker | 2% | +6352% | $16.0M |
| 14 | Abdul El-Sayed | 1% | +9424% | $1.9M |
| 15 | Rahm Emanuel | 1% | +9900% | $14.8M |
| 16 | Gretchen Whitmer | 1% | +13233% | $12.3M |
| 17 | Chelsea Clinton | 1% | +13233% | $51.1M |
| 18 | Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 1% | +13233% | $12.6M |
| 19 | Cory Booker | 1% | +15285% | $26.8M |
| 20 | Michelle Obama | 1% | +18082% | $26.8M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution...
This prediction market tracks whether Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 will occur, with $1317.8M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Jon Ossoff leads at only 27% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $747K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2028-11-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 11, 2026 at 14:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Jon Ossoff at 27% probability, with $1317.8M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1317.8M, with $747K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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