Market is split — 140-159 at 54%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 140-159 | 54% | +85% | $3K |
| 2 | 160-179 | 17% | +497% | $745 |
| 3 | 120-139 | 12% | +770% | $3K |
| 4 | 180-199 BEST VALUE | 11% | +826% | $593 |
| 5 | 200+ | 1% | +6797% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 7, 12:00 PM ET and July 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this m...
This prediction market tracks whether Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 7 - July 14, 2026? will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with 140-159 leading at just 54%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (44% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 13, 2026 at 15:05 UTC, the leading outcome is 140-159 at 54% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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