Market is split — 40-64 at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40-64 | 50% | +98% | $636 |
| 2 | 65-89 | 35% | +186% | $2K |
| 3 | <40 | 6% | +1438% | $11K |
| 4 | 90-114 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1567% | $3K |
| 5 | 115-139 | 1% | +9424% | $4K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed post...
This prediction market tracks whether Elon Musk # tweets June 11 - June 13, 2026? will occur, with $84K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with 40-64 leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $63K traded in the last 24 hours alone (75% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 40-64 at 50% probability, with $84K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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