The market strongly favors Jackson 5–10% at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson 5–10% | 92% | +9% | $10K |
| 2 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Jackson <5% BEST VALUE | 8% | +1076% | $3K |
| 4 | Jackson 10–15% | 1% | +14186% | $681 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The Georgia Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia...
This prediction market tracks whether Georgia Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Jackson 5–10% is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (88% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 18, 2026 at 23:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Jackson 5–10% at 92% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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