No clear favorite. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? leads at just 34%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | 34% | +194% | $504K |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran t...
This prediction market tracks whether Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? will occur, with $503K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? leads at only 34% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $17K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 11, 2026 at 14:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? at 34% probability, with $503K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $503K, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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