No clear favorite. December 31, 2026 leads at just 16%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1.6M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31, 2026 | 16% | +545% | $425K |
| 2 | June 30, 2026 | 5% | +1880% | $1.2M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 16% probability, with $1.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.6M, with $458K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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